BANKOFINDIA / bear-case history

Track the concerns that keep returning.

Bank of India · risk themes across the available quarters.

Research layer active

Bear-case history

Risks carried through the record.

Geopolitical headwinds impacting credit quality

Rising crude prices, supply chain disruptions, and interest rate hikes may stress MSME and export-oriented sectors.

medium

ECL implementation impact on credit cost

Transition to ECL guidelines from April 2027 may increase credit cost by ~10 bps annually, though management expects smooth transition.

low

CASA ratio decline and deposit cost pressure

CASA ratio fell to 37.64% from ~40% due to structural shift, potentially increasing cost of deposits if not reversed.

medium

State PSU slippage risk

Three state PSUs in SMA category may slip into NPA if cash flows don't improve, though management is confident of recovery.

medium