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What the record says.
Aavas Financiers reported a strong Q2 FY26 with PAT of ₹164 crore, up 11% YoY, driven by robust NII growth of 18% YoY and improved spreads. Disbursements grew 36% QoQ and 21% YoY to ₹15.6 billion, recovering from Q1's recognition framework transition. AUM reached ₹213.6 billion, up 16% YoY, with full-year guidance raised to ~18% growth. Asset quality improved with 1+ DPD at 3.99% (down 16 bps QoQ) and GNPA stable at 1.24%. Management guided for 20%+ AUM CAGR over five years, supported by geographic expansion into Tamil Nadu, Andhra Pradesh, and Telangana, and productivity gains. Key risk: localized stress in eastern Madhya Pradesh and potential spillover from MFI disruptions in Karnataka, though portfolio impact remains limited.
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Guidance to track
- Management raised AUM growth guidance to around 18% for FY26, up from earlier expectations, driven by strong disbursement momentum.
- Company plans to add 20-25 branches in the second half, including 8 more in Tamil Nadu, to deepen penetration in existing markets.
- Management committed to bringing operating expense to asset ratio below 3% over the medium term through operating leverage and technology benefits.
- Management reiterated guidance to keep credit cost below 25 basis points, supported by strong asset quality and proactive risk management.
Risks flagged
- Management identified stress in the eastern belt of MP and tightened underwriting; though contained, further deterioration could impact asset quality.
- Analyst raised concern about MFI ordinance impact; management acknowledged early tightening but residual risk remains if microfinance stress spreads to affordable housing.
- BT-out rate increased to 5.7% in Q2 from 4.9% in Q1, driven by competitive pressure from banks and other HFCs; retention efforts may not fully offset.
- Management hinted at possible PLR cut if MCLR transmission occurs, which could compress spreads if cost of funds does not decline further.
Key quotes
- Our calibrated risk strategy remains firmly anchored in prudence and discipline guided by sound underwriting principles rather than any perceived weakness in demand.
- We are confident that our strategic initiatives underpinned by prudent risk management and a customer-centric approach will continue to deliver sustainable growth and long-term value for all our stakeholders.
- I'm here and fully committed to AAS and its performance and so is the AAS board and the promoter group.
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