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Cipla FY24 Annual Earnings Summary

4 quarters covered · ₹25,714 Cr revenue · ₹4,115 Cr PAT · 24.3% average EBITDA margin.

Total annual revenue: ₹25,714 Cr
Annual PAT: ₹4,115 Cr
Average margin: 24.3%
Promise delivery: 0%

Quarter-by-quarter progression

QuarterRevenuePATMarginSentiment
Q1 FY24₹6,329 Cr₹996 Cr23.6%bullish
Q2 FY24₹6,678 Cr₹1,131 Cr26.0%bullish
Q3 FY24₹6,544 Cr₹1,049 Cr26.3%bullish
Q4 FY24₹6,163 Cr₹939 Cr21.4%bullish

Management promises made during the year

Symbicort filing by end of FY24

Current-quarter commentary contains related risk or weakness, so the promise appears not to have been delivered yet.

Q2 FY24
missed
Generic Symbicort filing in Q3 FY24

Current-quarter commentary contains related risk or weakness, so the promise appears not to have been delivered yet.

Q3 FY24
missed
Peptide product launch in Q4 FY24

Current-quarter commentary contains related risk or weakness, so the promise appears not to have been delivered yet.

Q3 FY24
missed
US revenue sustainable range of $220-225M next quarter

Current-quarter commentary contains related risk or weakness, so the promise appears not to have been delivered yet.

Q3 FY24
missed
FY24 EBITDA margin at higher end of 23-24%

Current-quarter commentary contains related risk or weakness, so the promise appears not to have been delivered yet.

Q4 FY24
missed

Risks flagged during the year

Q1 FY24 · high

Cipla awaits US FDA classification for its Indore facility, which was audited in February 2023. This could impact approvals for key products like generic Advair.

Q1 FY24 · high

Cipla's Goa facility is under remediation and expects re-inspection in H2 FY24. Any adverse outcome could disrupt supply of key products.

Q2 FY24 · high

Indore facility received OAI from US FDA; corrective measures are ongoing but may delay US approvals.

Q3 FY24 · high

Indore facility received a warning letter citing Albuterol complaints; resolution timeline uncertain and may impact future approvals.

Q3 FY24 · high

Goa facility due for re-inspection; delay or adverse outcome could further delay Abraxane launch.

Q4 FY24 · high

Patalganga received six 483 observations and Kurkumbh one; official classification awaited, potentially delaying product approvals.

Q1 FY24 · medium

Cipla faced an Albuterol recall in Q1 and experienced a market share decline in Q4 FY23, though management states share has stabilized.

Q1 FY24 · medium

While price erosion has eased, management noted it could revert to higher levels in later quarters, impacting US revenue sustainability.

Q2 FY24 · medium

Albuterol share is dependent on which variant the market buys; recovery to prior highs is not fully in Cipla's control.

Q2 FY24 · medium

Analyst questioned Revlimid volume trajectory after the initial 12-month period; management gave no specific guidance.

Q3 FY24 · medium

Pricing environment in US generics is in a downcycle; compression expected to move from 4-6% to 6-8% within a year.

Q3 FY24 · medium

Abraxane launch via third-party transfer is taking longer; fastest route is from Goa facility, which is subject to FDA inspection.

What changed through the year

G

Q1 FY24 · Full-year EBITDA margin target of ~23%

Management raised FY24 EBITDA margin guidance to approximately 23%, up from earlier 22% guidance, driven by strong Q1 performance and confidence across markets.

G

Q1 FY24 · Symbicort filing by end of FY24

Cipla expects to file generic Symbicort (respiratory product) by the end of calendar year 2023.

G

Q1 FY24 · 4-5 peptide launches in next two years

Cipla plans to launch 4-5 peptide products over the next two years, with a couple of new peptide filings in the same period.

G

Q1 FY24 · Advair launch within 12 months via de-risking

Generic Advair is being transferred to an in-house facility; launch expected within 12 months with no incremental generic competition anticipated.

G

Q2 FY24 · EBITDA margin guidance raised to 23-24% for FY24

Management increased full-year EBITDA margin guidance from 23% to 23-24%, with bias towards the higher end.

G

Q2 FY24 · Generic Symbicort filing in Q3 FY24

Cipla plans to file generic Symbicort in Q3 FY24, having completed clinical studies.

G

Q2 FY24 · Peptide product launch in Q4 FY24

One peptide product launch planned in Q4 FY24, with 3-4 more in FY25.

G

Q2 FY24 · US revenue sustainable range of $220-225M next quarter

Management guided US revenue of $220-225M as sustainable for the next quarter.

G

Q3 FY24 · FY24 EBITDA margin at higher end of 23-24%

Full-year EBITDA margin trending at the higher end of the previously guided range of 23-24%.

G

Q3 FY24 · Advair filing by mid-FY25

Advair generic expected to be filed by mid-FY25 from an alternate site, with approval likely by end of next fiscal.

G

Q3 FY24 · Four peptide launches in FY25

Four peptide launches planned in FY25, with one asset awaiting approval expected in Q1 FY25.

G

Q3 FY24 · Symbicort filing completed

Filed generic Symbicort and one other inhalation asset; second site transfer to be added before approval.

G

Q4 FY24 · FY25 EBITDA margin guidance of 24.5%-25.5%

Management expects EBITDA margin expansion of up to 100 bps over FY24's 24.5%, driven by cost measures and portfolio mix.

G

Q4 FY24 · Capex of INR 1,500 crore in FY25

Capital investments planned to enhance manufacturing capability and sustainability.

G

Q4 FY24 · North America revenue growth aspiration for FY25

Aim to grow top line YoY, backed by commercial execution of existing portfolio and new launches.

G

Q4 FY24 · Launch of 4 peptide assets in FY25

Targeting to launch four peptide assets during the fiscal year.