Canara Bank Management Guidance Tracker
8 forward-looking guidance items tracked across 2 quarters.
Margins
Management expects net interest margin to stabilize between 2.45% and 2.50% even if further repo rate cuts occur, supported by deposit repricing and RAM growth.
Q4 FY26NIM to remain in 2.5-2.6% rangeActiveNet interest margin is expected to sustain at 2.5-2.6% in FY27, supported by conscious pricing on deposits and focus on high-yield RAM credit.
Q4 FY26ROA above 1% for FY27TrackedReturn on assets is guided to be above 1% for the full year, despite the absence of one-time listing gains.
Growth
Despite initial guidance of 10-11%, management expects credit growth to remain above 13% in Q4, driven by RAM sector momentum.
Q4 FY26Credit growth guidance of 11-12% for FY27TrackedManagement guided for 11-12% advances growth, but expressed confidence in exceeding this, similar to last year's 10-11% guidance which ended at 15.30%.
Other
Expected additional provisioning under ECL norms is ~₹10,000 crore, which will be spread over four years, with annual impact of ₹2,000-2,500 crore easily absorbable from profits.
Q3 FY26Recovery from written-off accounts to continue at ₹2,000+ crore per quarterActiveManagement expects recovery from written-off accounts to remain above ₹2,000 crore per quarter, similar to current run rate.
Q4 FY26ECL impact of ~₹10,000 cr can be absorbed over 4 yearsTrackedThe bank estimates a total ECL provision requirement of about ₹10,000 crore, which can be staggered over four years, with profits of ₹19,000-20,000 crore providing ample buffer.