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Britannia FY26 Annual Earnings Summary

3 quarters covered · ₹14,106 Cr revenue · ₹1,358 Cr PAT · 11.6% average EBITDA margin.

Total annual revenue: ₹14,106 Cr
Annual PAT: ₹1,358 Cr
Average margin: 11.6%
Promise delivery: 0%

Quarter-by-quarter progression

QuarterRevenuePATMarginSentiment
Q1 FY26₹4,535 Crbullish
Q3 FY26₹4,885 Cr₹680 Cr18.3%bullish
Q4 FY26₹4,686 Cr₹678 Cr16.4%neutral

Management promises made during the year

No further price increases expected near-term

Current-quarter commentary contains related risk or weakness, so the promise appears not to have been delivered yet.

Q1 FY26
missed
CEO succession clarity in 3-4 months

The current-quarter record did not contain enough evidence of delivery; the item remains delayed for follow-up.

Q1 FY26
delayed
Return to double-digit revenue growth

Current-quarter commentary contains related risk or weakness, so the promise appears not to have been delivered yet.

Q3 FY26
missed
Full portfolio grammage increase by mid-November

Current-quarter commentary contains related risk or weakness, so the promise appears not to have been delivered yet.

Q3 FY26
missed
GST price points expected to stabilize by end of Q4

Current-quarter commentary contains related risk or weakness, so the promise appears not to have been delivered yet.

Q4 FY26
missed

Risks flagged during the year

Q4 FY26 · high

Fuel and laminate prices have risen due to West Asia conflict; if sustained, margins could be pressured despite hedges.

Q1 FY26 · medium

Higher industry margins are attracting regional players, which could pressure market share and pricing in specific territories.

Q1 FY26 · medium

The shift to mega distributors in the East caused market share loss; recovery depends on successful change management.

Q1 FY26 · medium

Volume growth was only ~2% in Q1, lower than some peers; management attributed it to pricing, but sustained low volume could signal demand weakness.

Q3 FY26 · medium

Competitors have staggered moving to INR 5/10 price points, causing channel disruption and temporary market share loss.

Q3 FY26 · medium

Regional players are gaining share in pockets due to benign commodity costs and aggressive trade schemes.

Q3 FY26 · medium

CFO noted that flour prices depend on the upcoming crop season; any adverse weather could increase costs.

Q4 FY26 · medium

If competitors do not fully revert to ₹5/₹10 packs, Britannia's wholesale/rural channel growth may remain subdued.

Q4 FY26 · medium

Vessel unavailability and demand slowdown in West Asia hurt Q4 international revenue; recovery depends on geopolitical stability.

Q4 FY26 · medium

Number two player claims double-digit volume growth, potentially gaining share in channels where Britannia is under pressure.

Q1 FY26 · low

A INR 52 crore charge from SAR revaluation hit PAT; future stock price movements could cause further volatility in reported earnings.

Q3 FY26 · low

A one-time incentive from Bihar was booked this quarter; ongoing discussions for alternative incentives may not materialize.

What changed through the year

G

Q1 FY26 · Revenue growth to remain transaction-led with volume-revenue delta of 6-8% for 2-3 quarters

Management expects the gap between volume and revenue growth to persist at 6-8% for the next two to three quarters as pricing benefits continue.

G

Q1 FY26 · Capex to be ~INR 100 crore for FY26

Capital expenditure for the full year is planned at around INR 100 crore, significantly lower than prior years, given adequate capacity.

G

Q1 FY26 · Gross margins expected to improve sequentially

With commodity prices stabilizing and price increases fully implemented, management expects gross margins to improve from Q1 levels.

G

Q3 FY26 · E-commerce salience to reach early teens by FY27

Management expects e-commerce share to move from high single digits to early teens by FY27, driven by category penetration and dark store expansion.

G

Q3 FY26 · Adjacencies to benefit from increased brand investment

New CMO will drive umbrella branding for adjacencies (cake, rusk, croissants, wafers) with higher media spend and innovation.

G

Q3 FY26 · GST price points expected to stabilize by end of Q4

Management expects most competitors to move to INR 5/10 price points by end of Q4, reducing channel disruption.

G

Q4 FY26 · Calibrated price increases from Q1 FY27

Management plans selective price hikes and grammage adjustments starting Q1 FY27 to offset input cost inflation.

G

Q4 FY26 · Domestic growth to normalize by end of Q1 FY27

Expects the dual-pricing impact on wholesale/rural channels to resolve and growth to recover to high single digits.

G

Q4 FY26 · International supply chain fully operational by mid-May

Manufacturing for North America moved back to Mundra from Oman to bypass West Asia shipping disruptions.

G

Q4 FY26 · Continued aggressive cost efficiency programs

Cost efficiency initiatives (10x vs 2013-14) will continue, targeting savings to offset inflation.