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Bharat Petroleum Corporation vs Grasim Q1 FY24

Side-by-side earnings comparison across financial stats, AI summaries, management guidance, risks, quotes, and accountability signals.

Bharat Petroleum Corporation

bullish high

BPCL reported a stellar Q1 FY24 with consolidated PAT of INR 10,644 crore, its highest ever, driven by record refinery throughput at 115% capacity utilization and strong marketing volume growth of ~8% YoY.

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Grasim

neutral medium

Grasim's Q1 FY24 consolidated revenue grew 11% YoY to INR 31,065 crore, driven by subsidiaries UltraTech and Aditya Birla Capital, but standalone revenue fell 14% YoY to INR 6,238 crore due to weak realizations in VSF and chemicals.

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Result Snapshot

Revenue₹1,28,264 Cr₹31,065 Cr
PAT₹10,644 Cr
EBITDA Margin
Sentimentbullishneutral

AI Summary

Bharat Petroleum Corporation

Q1 FY24 · Diversified

BPCL reported a stellar Q1 FY24 with consolidated PAT of INR 10,644 crore, its highest ever, driven by record refinery throughput at 115% capacity utilization and strong marketing volume growth of ~8% YoY. Refinery GRM stood at $12.64/bbl, down sequentially due to weaker cracks, but Russian crude discounts provided a tailwind. Marketing margins improved as LPG under-recoveries were fully recouped. Management guided for INR 10,000 crore capex in FY24, with a larger INR 1.5 lakh crore five-year plan focused on petchem expansion at Bina (2.2 MTPA by 2028) and energy transition. A rights issue of INR 18,000 crore was approved to fund net-zero and energy security goals. Key risk: crude price volatility and potential narrowing of Russian crude discounts could pressure refining margins.

Guidance read
Capex target of INR 10,000 crore for FY24: Management expects to spend INR 10,000 crore in capital expenditure during FY24, with INR 1,464 crore spent in Q1. Add 1,000 new retail outlets in FY24: BPCL plans to add approximately 1,000 new retail outlets during FY24; 111 were added in Q1. Add 500 CNG stations by FY24 end: BPCL aims to add another 500 CNG stations at existing retail outlets by the end of FY24. Petchem complex at Bina by 2028: A large petrochemical complex with 2.2 MTPA capacity and refinery expansion to 11 MMTPA is planned, with commissioning by 2028.
Risk read
Key risks include Crude price volatility and Russian discount narrowing — Management noted that crude prices have risen to $82-83/bbl and Russian crude discounts have narrowed sequentially, which could pressure refining margins.; Payment issues for Russian crude above price cap — Management acknowledged that if Russian crude prices cross $60/bbl, payment issues may arise, though more banks are now willing to settle.; Delays in Mozambique LNG project — The Mozambique LNG project remains under force majeure; management expects work to restart in 1-2 quarters but cost overruns are likely.; Dividend payout sustainability amid large capex — Analyst questioned whether elevated capex plans (INR 1.5 lakh crore over 5 years) could impact dividend payouts; management reaffirmed 30% payout policy..
Promise ledger
Scorecard data is being built as historical quarters are processed.

Grasim

Q1 FY24 · Diversified

Grasim's Q1 FY24 consolidated revenue grew 11% YoY to INR 31,065 crore, driven by subsidiaries UltraTech and Aditya Birla Capital, but standalone revenue fell 14% YoY to INR 6,238 crore due to weak realizations in VSF and chemicals. Consolidated EBITDA declined 5% YoY to INR 4,981 crore, while standalone EBITDA dropped 42% YoY to INR 789 crore, impacted by high base effects and pre-operative expenses for new businesses. VSF business showed sequential recovery with EBITDA of INR 390 crore and 90% utilization, though global textile demand remains sluggish. Chemicals revenue fell 21% YoY to INR 2,146 crore amid caustic price declines. Paints business is on track for commercial launch in Q4 FY24, with 2-3 plants expected to be commissioned this year. B2B e-commerce platform Birla Pivot launched with 130+ brands. Risks include continued global demand weakness and potential margin pressure from input cost volatility.

Guidance read
Paints commercial launch in Q4 FY24: At least 2-3 plants will be commissioned this year, with total capacity of 630 million liters. CapEx of INR 5,791 crore in FY24: Includes INR 4,283 crore for paints business; peak debt expected around INR 8,000-10,000 crore gross. Chlor-alkali capacity expansion to 1.5M MT by Q1 FY25: Expansion from 1.3M MT delayed due to monsoon; commissioning expected by Q4 FY24 or Q1 FY25. Epoxy specialty capacity doubling with 12-month ramp-up: New capacity will be commissioned in Q2 FY24; full operational capacity expected in 12 months with 20-25% quarterly increments.
Risk read
Key risks include Global textile demand weakness — Textile exports from India have declined for 12 consecutive months, impacting VSF demand and customer profitability.; Caustic soda price erosion — International caustic prices fell 46% from Oct 2022 to June 2023, with further declines expected due to oversupply from China.; VSF margin pressure from Chinese imports — Cheap viscose yarn imports from China are squeezing domestic spinners' margins, potentially reducing demand for Grasim's VSF.; Delay in chlor-alkali capacity expansion — Monsoon delays pushed commissioning from Q3 FY24 to Q1 FY25, which could impact volume growth..
Promise ledger
Scorecard data is being built as historical quarters are processed.

Key Numbers

Bharat Petroleum Corporation

Q1 FY24 · Diversified
Refinery Throughput 10.36 MMT
+15% vs nameplate capacity

Record quarterly throughput at 115% capacity utilization across all refineries.

GRM $12.64/bbl
-$7.94/bbl QoQ

Sequential decline due to weaker fuel cracks; Russian crude partially offset.

Retail Outlet Additions 111
Q1 FY24 additions

Part of plan to add 1,000 new outlets in FY24; total network expanding.

EV Charging Stations 747
Target 7,000 by Dec 2024

BPCL aims to convert all retail outlets into energy stations with EV charging.

Grasim

Q1 FY24 · Diversified
VSF Utilization 90%
flat QoQ

Utilization was impacted by a month-long shutdown at Harihar unit due to fire.

Caustic Soda Volume 292,000 MT
+5% YoY

Chlor-alkali business maintained market leadership with volume growth.

Paints Capacity (Phase 1) 630M liters
new

Target capacity from 3 plants to be operational by end of FY24.

Renewable Power Share 14%
+3pp YoY

Improved from 11% in FY23, reducing power costs.

Management Guidance

Bharat Petroleum Corporation

Q1 FY24 · Diversified
G

Capex target of INR 10,000 crore for FY24

Management expects to spend INR 10,000 crore in capital expenditure during FY24, with INR 1,464 crore spent in Q1.

Management guidance capex
G

Add 1,000 new retail outlets in FY24

BPCL plans to add approximately 1,000 new retail outlets during FY24; 111 were added in Q1.

Management guidance expansion
G

Add 500 CNG stations by FY24 end

BPCL aims to add another 500 CNG stations at existing retail outlets by the end of FY24.

Management guidance expansion
G

Petchem complex at Bina by 2028

A large petrochemical complex with 2.2 MTPA capacity and refinery expansion to 11 MMTPA is planned, with commissioning by 2028.

Management guidance growth

Grasim

Q1 FY24 · Diversified
G

Paints commercial launch in Q4 FY24

At least 2-3 plants will be commissioned this year, with total capacity of 630 million liters.

Management guidance expansion
G

CapEx of INR 5,791 crore in FY24

Includes INR 4,283 crore for paints business; peak debt expected around INR 8,000-10,000 crore gross.

Management guidance capex
G

Chlor-alkali capacity expansion to 1.5M MT by Q1 FY25

Expansion from 1.3M MT delayed due to monsoon; commissioning expected by Q4 FY24 or Q1 FY25.

Management guidance expansion
G

Epoxy specialty capacity doubling with 12-month ramp-up

New capacity will be commissioned in Q2 FY24; full operational capacity expected in 12 months with 20-25% quarterly increments.

Management guidance growth

Key Risks

Bharat Petroleum Corporation

Q1 FY24 · Diversified
R

Crude price volatility and Russian discount narrowing

Management noted that crude prices have risen to $82-83/bbl and Russian crude discounts have narrowed sequentially, which could pressure refining margins.

high · management_commentary
R

Payment issues for Russian crude above price cap

Management acknowledged that if Russian crude prices cross $60/bbl, payment issues may arise, though more banks are now willing to settle.

medium · analyst_question
R

Delays in Mozambique LNG project

The Mozambique LNG project remains under force majeure; management expects work to restart in 1-2 quarters but cost overruns are likely.

medium · analyst_question
R

Dividend payout sustainability amid large capex

Analyst questioned whether elevated capex plans (INR 1.5 lakh crore over 5 years) could impact dividend payouts; management reaffirmed 30% payout policy.

low · analyst_question

Grasim

Q1 FY24 · Diversified
R

Global textile demand weakness

Textile exports from India have declined for 12 consecutive months, impacting VSF demand and customer profitability.

high · management_commentary
R

Caustic soda price erosion

International caustic prices fell 46% from Oct 2022 to June 2023, with further declines expected due to oversupply from China.

high · management_commentary
R

VSF margin pressure from Chinese imports

Cheap viscose yarn imports from China are squeezing domestic spinners' margins, potentially reducing demand for Grasim's VSF.

medium · analyst_question
R

Delay in chlor-alkali capacity expansion

Monsoon delays pushed commissioning from Q3 FY24 to Q1 FY25, which could impact volume growth.

low · analyst_question

Key Quotes

Bharat Petroleum Corporation

Q1 FY24 · Diversified
BPCL has registered highest ever quarterly EBITDA, highest ever profit after tax, excluding the exception items, and highest ever total equity during quarter one.
V.R.K. Gupta · Director of Finance, Bharat Petroleum Corporation
We have to wait and see how the crude prices will behave. If we feel the crude prices will stabilize at this level for a longer period of time, then we can take a call.
V.R.K. Gupta · Director of Finance, Bharat Petroleum Corporation

Grasim

Q1 FY24 · Diversified
We would be launching our two new businesses in the current financial year. The paints business would commence its commercial offering from Q4 FY 2024.
Pavan Jain · CFO, Grasim Industries
Our long term goal is to be second largest player in the Indian decorative paints market, which is growing at a healthy double-digit pace.
Pavan Jain · CFO, Grasim Industries