BP
Bharat Petroleum Corporation
Q1 FY24 · Diversified
BPCL reported a stellar Q1 FY24 with consolidated PAT of INR 10,644 crore, its highest ever, driven by record refinery throughput at 115% capacity utilization and strong marketing volume growth of ~8% YoY. Refinery GRM stood at $12.64/bbl, down sequentially due to weaker cracks, but Russian crude discounts provided a tailwind. Marketing margins improved as LPG under-recoveries were fully recouped. Management guided for INR 10,000 crore capex in FY24, with a larger INR 1.5 lakh crore five-year plan focused on petchem expansion at Bina (2.2 MTPA by 2028) and energy transition. A rights issue of INR 18,000 crore was approved to fund net-zero and energy security goals. Key risk: crude price volatility and potential narrowing of Russian crude discounts could pressure refining margins.
- Guidance read
- Capex target of INR 10,000 crore for FY24: Management expects to spend INR 10,000 crore in capital expenditure during FY24, with INR 1,464 crore spent in Q1. Add 1,000 new retail outlets in FY24: BPCL plans to add approximately 1,000 new retail outlets during FY24; 111 were added in Q1. Add 500 CNG stations by FY24 end: BPCL aims to add another 500 CNG stations at existing retail outlets by the end of FY24. Petchem complex at Bina by 2028: A large petrochemical complex with 2.2 MTPA capacity and refinery expansion to 11 MMTPA is planned, with commissioning by 2028.
- Risk read
- Key risks include Crude price volatility and Russian discount narrowing — Management noted that crude prices have risen to $82-83/bbl and Russian crude discounts have narrowed sequentially, which could pressure refining margins.; Payment issues for Russian crude above price cap — Management acknowledged that if Russian crude prices cross $60/bbl, payment issues may arise, though more banks are now willing to settle.; Delays in Mozambique LNG project — The Mozambique LNG project remains under force majeure; management expects work to restart in 1-2 quarters but cost overruns are likely.; Dividend payout sustainability amid large capex — Analyst questioned whether elevated capex plans (INR 1.5 lakh crore over 5 years) could impact dividend payouts; management reaffirmed 30% payout policy..
- Promise ledger
- Scorecard data is being built as historical quarters are processed.
GR
Grasim
Q1 FY24 · Diversified
Grasim's Q1 FY24 consolidated revenue grew 11% YoY to INR 31,065 crore, driven by subsidiaries UltraTech and Aditya Birla Capital, but standalone revenue fell 14% YoY to INR 6,238 crore due to weak realizations in VSF and chemicals. Consolidated EBITDA declined 5% YoY to INR 4,981 crore, while standalone EBITDA dropped 42% YoY to INR 789 crore, impacted by high base effects and pre-operative expenses for new businesses. VSF business showed sequential recovery with EBITDA of INR 390 crore and 90% utilization, though global textile demand remains sluggish. Chemicals revenue fell 21% YoY to INR 2,146 crore amid caustic price declines. Paints business is on track for commercial launch in Q4 FY24, with 2-3 plants expected to be commissioned this year. B2B e-commerce platform Birla Pivot launched with 130+ brands. Risks include continued global demand weakness and potential margin pressure from input cost volatility.
- Guidance read
- Paints commercial launch in Q4 FY24: At least 2-3 plants will be commissioned this year, with total capacity of 630 million liters. CapEx of INR 5,791 crore in FY24: Includes INR 4,283 crore for paints business; peak debt expected around INR 8,000-10,000 crore gross. Chlor-alkali capacity expansion to 1.5M MT by Q1 FY25: Expansion from 1.3M MT delayed due to monsoon; commissioning expected by Q4 FY24 or Q1 FY25. Epoxy specialty capacity doubling with 12-month ramp-up: New capacity will be commissioned in Q2 FY24; full operational capacity expected in 12 months with 20-25% quarterly increments.
- Risk read
- Key risks include Global textile demand weakness — Textile exports from India have declined for 12 consecutive months, impacting VSF demand and customer profitability.; Caustic soda price erosion — International caustic prices fell 46% from Oct 2022 to June 2023, with further declines expected due to oversupply from China.; VSF margin pressure from Chinese imports — Cheap viscose yarn imports from China are squeezing domestic spinners' margins, potentially reducing demand for Grasim's VSF.; Delay in chlor-alkali capacity expansion — Monsoon delays pushed commissioning from Q3 FY24 to Q1 FY25, which could impact volume growth..
- Promise ledger
- Scorecard data is being built as historical quarters are processed.