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Bharti Airtel FY25 Annual Earnings Summary

4 quarters covered · ₹1,72,906 Cr revenue · ₹37,482 Cr PAT · 53.8% average EBITDA margin.

Total annual revenue: ₹1,72,906 Cr
Annual PAT: ₹37,482 Cr
Average margin: 53.8%
Promise delivery: 11%

Quarter-by-quarter progression

QuarterRevenuePATMarginSentiment
Q1 FY25₹38,500 Cr₹4,718 Cr53.7%bullish
Q2 FY25₹41,400 Cr₹4,153 Cr54.8%bullish
Q3 FY25₹45,130 Cr₹16,135 Cr56.2%bullish
Q4 FY25₹47,876 Cr₹12,476 Cr50.7%bullish

Management promises made during the year

CapEx moderation in FY25

Current-quarter commentary contains related risk or weakness, so the promise appears not to have been delivered yet.

Q1 FY25
missed
FWA to scale in Q2 FY25

Current-quarter commentary contains related risk or weakness, so the promise appears not to have been delivered yet.

Q1 FY25
missed
Domestic enterprise growth 18-20%

Current-quarter commentary contains related risk or weakness, so the promise appears not to have been delivered yet.

Q1 FY25
missed
Tariff repair full flow-through in two quarters

Current-quarter commentary contains related risk or weakness, so the promise appears not to have been delivered yet.

Q2 FY25
missed
FWA launch on SA technology by Q2 FY25

Current-quarter commentary contains related risk or weakness, so the promise appears not to have been delivered yet.

Q2 FY25
missed
Full benefit of tariff repair to accrue over next two quarters

Current-quarter results and commentary indicate the prior promise was delivered or materially on track.

Q3 FY25
met
FWA on standalone 5G by December 2024

Current-quarter commentary contains related evidence, but delivery is not conclusive enough for a clean met verdict.

Q3 FY25
close
B2B low-margin exit to impact top line but not EBITDA

Current-quarter commentary contains related risk or weakness, so the promise appears not to have been delivered yet.

Q4 FY25
missed
Home broadband momentum to improve

Current-quarter commentary contains related risk or weakness, so the promise appears not to have been delivered yet.

Q4 FY25
missed

Risks flagged during the year

Q2 FY25 · high

The Supreme Court rejected the curative petition on AGR dues. A review petition is pending, but the moratorium period is yet to start, creating uncertainty.

Q1 FY25 · medium

B2B revenue growth softened to 1% sequentially, impacted by global OTT spend deferrals and domestic rationalization.

Q1 FY25 · medium

Early signs show modest SIM consolidation among 2G users post tariff hike; full impact on churn and downgrades remains uncertain.

Q1 FY25 · medium

Globally, 5G lacks major use cases beyond FWA; monetization relies on tariff upgrades, which may face customer resistance.

Q2 FY25 · medium

While customer discussions have improved, they have not yet translated into firm orders, posing a risk to B2B revenue growth.

Q3 FY25 · medium

Growth in lower-margin digital services (security, cloud) is diluting B2B EBITDA margins, a trend likely to continue.

Q3 FY25 · medium

Despite improvements, Airtel's home broadband adds remain below Jio's; management acknowledges dissatisfaction but expects channel expansion to close gap.

Q4 FY25 · medium

Analyst raised concern that Vodafone Idea's 5G launch and network investments may impact Airtel's postpaid additions and market share trajectory.

Q4 FY25 · medium

Management acknowledged B2B revenue declined sequentially due to strategy to exit commoditized low-margin businesses, with further shedding expected next quarter.

Q4 FY25 · medium

While Naira stabilized, Africa currency devaluation impacted reported revenues during the year; any reversal could affect consolidated performance.

Q1 FY25 · low

Reverse auctions for government tenders and PSU contracts continue to exert pricing pressure, though management views it as business as usual.

Q2 FY25 · low

DTH lost over 500,000 customers in the quarter, attributed to pronounced seasonality, which could persist if competitive pressures intensify.

What changed through the year

G

Q1 FY25 · Tariff repair full flow-through in two quarters

The July tariff hike is expected to fully reflect in revenue within two quarters, with early signs encouraging.

G

Q1 FY25 · Industry needs minimum ARPU of INR 300

Management reiterated that the industry requires ARPU of at least INR 300 for sustainable investment and respectable returns.

G

Q1 FY25 · FWA launch on SA technology by Q2 FY25

Fixed wireless access will be launched on standalone 5G architecture nationally by August/September 2024.

G

Q1 FY25 · Capex moderation in FY25

Full-year capex will be lower than FY24, with India mobile capex expected to moderate.

G

Q2 FY25 · Full benefit of tariff repair to accrue over next two quarters

Management expects the full impact of the recent tariff increase to be reflected in the coming quarters, with normalization of customer trends already seen in October.

G

Q2 FY25 · Full-year CapEx to moderate from last year's elevated level

CapEx will be lower than FY24, which was a peak year due to 5G and site rollout. Q2 CapEx was INR 6,250 crore, and the trend is expected to continue.

G

Q2 FY25 · FWA on standalone 5G by December 2024

Trials for standalone 5G on FWA are underway, and commercial deployment is planned by December 2024 to improve uplink performance.

G

Q2 FY25 · Rural site rollout largely complete this year

The project to add 25,000 rural sites will be mostly completed by the end of the fiscal year, with only a few circles remaining.

G

Q3 FY25 · CapEx moderation in FY26

CapEx for FY25 will be lower than FY24, and moderation will continue into FY26, with CapEx/revenue trending down toward global peer levels.

G

Q3 FY25 · B2B low-margin exit to impact top line but not EBITDA

Exiting commodity voice and messaging business will reduce top line over ~6 months but have negligible EBITDA impact.

G

Q3 FY25 · Home broadband momentum to improve

Expect continued growth in home broadband via FWA expansion, fiber rollout, and channel expansion to 100,000 points of presence.

G

Q3 FY25 · Dividend step-up likely

Free cash flow will be used for deleveraging, dividend step-up, and selective bolt-on acquisitions in B2B adjacencies.

G

Q4 FY25 · FY26 CapEx to be lower than FY25

Management guided that total CapEx will trend downwards in FY26, driven by substantially lower rural rollout and moderation in radio CapEx.

G

Q4 FY25 · Broadband home passes to increase to over 2.5 million per quarter

Management aims to step up fiber home pass rollout from current 1.7 million per quarter to over 2.5 million.

G

Q4 FY25 · Postpaid net adds expected to step up in coming quarters

Management expects postpaid net adds to increase from current 600K per quarter as tariff repair impact settles.

G

Q4 FY25 · Data center capacity to double over next 18 months

Management plans to significantly step up data center capacity, with multiple builds underway and aspirations to increase market share from 12%.