Bharti Airtel FY25 Annual Earnings Summary
4 quarters covered · ₹1,72,906 Cr revenue · ₹37,482 Cr PAT · 53.8% average EBITDA margin.
Quarter-by-quarter progression
Management promises made during the year
Current-quarter commentary contains related risk or weakness, so the promise appears not to have been delivered yet.
Q1 FY25Current-quarter commentary contains related risk or weakness, so the promise appears not to have been delivered yet.
Q1 FY25Current-quarter commentary contains related risk or weakness, so the promise appears not to have been delivered yet.
Q1 FY25Current-quarter commentary contains related risk or weakness, so the promise appears not to have been delivered yet.
Q2 FY25Current-quarter commentary contains related risk or weakness, so the promise appears not to have been delivered yet.
Q2 FY25Current-quarter results and commentary indicate the prior promise was delivered or materially on track.
Q3 FY25Current-quarter commentary contains related evidence, but delivery is not conclusive enough for a clean met verdict.
Q3 FY25Current-quarter commentary contains related risk or weakness, so the promise appears not to have been delivered yet.
Q4 FY25Current-quarter commentary contains related risk or weakness, so the promise appears not to have been delivered yet.
Q4 FY25Risks flagged during the year
The Supreme Court rejected the curative petition on AGR dues. A review petition is pending, but the moratorium period is yet to start, creating uncertainty.
Q1 FY25 · mediumB2B revenue growth softened to 1% sequentially, impacted by global OTT spend deferrals and domestic rationalization.
Q1 FY25 · mediumEarly signs show modest SIM consolidation among 2G users post tariff hike; full impact on churn and downgrades remains uncertain.
Q1 FY25 · mediumGlobally, 5G lacks major use cases beyond FWA; monetization relies on tariff upgrades, which may face customer resistance.
Q2 FY25 · mediumWhile customer discussions have improved, they have not yet translated into firm orders, posing a risk to B2B revenue growth.
Q3 FY25 · mediumGrowth in lower-margin digital services (security, cloud) is diluting B2B EBITDA margins, a trend likely to continue.
Q3 FY25 · mediumDespite improvements, Airtel's home broadband adds remain below Jio's; management acknowledges dissatisfaction but expects channel expansion to close gap.
Q4 FY25 · mediumAnalyst raised concern that Vodafone Idea's 5G launch and network investments may impact Airtel's postpaid additions and market share trajectory.
Q4 FY25 · mediumManagement acknowledged B2B revenue declined sequentially due to strategy to exit commoditized low-margin businesses, with further shedding expected next quarter.
Q4 FY25 · mediumWhile Naira stabilized, Africa currency devaluation impacted reported revenues during the year; any reversal could affect consolidated performance.
Q1 FY25 · lowReverse auctions for government tenders and PSU contracts continue to exert pricing pressure, though management views it as business as usual.
Q2 FY25 · lowDTH lost over 500,000 customers in the quarter, attributed to pronounced seasonality, which could persist if competitive pressures intensify.
What changed through the year
Q1 FY25 · Tariff repair full flow-through in two quarters
The July tariff hike is expected to fully reflect in revenue within two quarters, with early signs encouraging.
Q1 FY25 · Industry needs minimum ARPU of INR 300
Management reiterated that the industry requires ARPU of at least INR 300 for sustainable investment and respectable returns.
Q1 FY25 · FWA launch on SA technology by Q2 FY25
Fixed wireless access will be launched on standalone 5G architecture nationally by August/September 2024.
Q1 FY25 · Capex moderation in FY25
Full-year capex will be lower than FY24, with India mobile capex expected to moderate.
Q2 FY25 · Full benefit of tariff repair to accrue over next two quarters
Management expects the full impact of the recent tariff increase to be reflected in the coming quarters, with normalization of customer trends already seen in October.
Q2 FY25 · Full-year CapEx to moderate from last year's elevated level
CapEx will be lower than FY24, which was a peak year due to 5G and site rollout. Q2 CapEx was INR 6,250 crore, and the trend is expected to continue.
Q2 FY25 · FWA on standalone 5G by December 2024
Trials for standalone 5G on FWA are underway, and commercial deployment is planned by December 2024 to improve uplink performance.
Q2 FY25 · Rural site rollout largely complete this year
The project to add 25,000 rural sites will be mostly completed by the end of the fiscal year, with only a few circles remaining.
Q3 FY25 · CapEx moderation in FY26
CapEx for FY25 will be lower than FY24, and moderation will continue into FY26, with CapEx/revenue trending down toward global peer levels.
Q3 FY25 · B2B low-margin exit to impact top line but not EBITDA
Exiting commodity voice and messaging business will reduce top line over ~6 months but have negligible EBITDA impact.
Q3 FY25 · Home broadband momentum to improve
Expect continued growth in home broadband via FWA expansion, fiber rollout, and channel expansion to 100,000 points of presence.
Q3 FY25 · Dividend step-up likely
Free cash flow will be used for deleveraging, dividend step-up, and selective bolt-on acquisitions in B2B adjacencies.
Q4 FY25 · FY26 CapEx to be lower than FY25
Management guided that total CapEx will trend downwards in FY26, driven by substantially lower rural rollout and moderation in radio CapEx.
Q4 FY25 · Broadband home passes to increase to over 2.5 million per quarter
Management aims to step up fiber home pass rollout from current 1.7 million per quarter to over 2.5 million.
Q4 FY25 · Postpaid net adds expected to step up in coming quarters
Management expects postpaid net adds to increase from current 600K per quarter as tariff repair impact settles.
Q4 FY25 · Data center capacity to double over next 18 months
Management plans to significantly step up data center capacity, with multiple builds underway and aspirations to increase market share from 12%.