Bharat Forge FY26 Annual Earnings Summary
4 quarters covered · ₹13,302 Cr revenue · ₹233 Cr PAT · 17.3% average EBITDA margin.
Quarter-by-quarter progression
Management promises made during the year
Promise tracking available after 2+ quarters of coverage.
Risks flagged during the year
US tariffs on auto and industrial parts create cost burden and demand disruption; ₹14 crore absorbed in Q1.
Q2 FY26 · highUS tariff situation remains dynamic; management declined to quantify further impact, indicating potential for continued headwinds.
Q3 FY26 · highManagement deflected specifics on European restructuring, citing external landscape challenges and secular problems in Europe.
Q4 FY26 · highTariffs and geopolitical tensions (Middle East, US-China) could disrupt demand and supply chains; company absorbed ₹12 crore tariff impact in Q4.
Q1 FY26 · mediumManagement guided Q2 to be weaker due to US export slowdown, potentially marking a cyclical low.
Q1 FY26 · mediumDespite improved margins, price increases from customers are still pending, as highlighted by an analyst.
Q1 FY26 · mediumKalyani Powertrain losses reduced but breakeven depends on large contracts; EV sector faces magnet availability issues.
Q2 FY26 · mediumEuropean steel business is a weak spot; restructuring plans are not yet finalized, posing a drag on consolidated margins.
Q2 FY26 · mediumLarge defense orders like ATAGS and carbines have long gestation periods (12+ months to start revenue), delaying cash flows.
Q3 FY26 · mediumTariffs on aluminium into the US are impacting profitability and demand, with current utilization at 65%.
Q3 FY26 · mediumWhile order intake is improving, the recovery is expected to be steady rather than sharp, with exports still down 51% YoY.
Q4 FY26 · mediumEnergy costs have risen substantially, impacting input costs; management is negotiating with customers for compensation but uncertainty remains.
What changed through the year
Q1 FY26 · Aerospace revenue to grow 20%+ YoY
Aerospace business expected to continue strong growth with limited US exposure.
Q1 FY26 · American Axle to add ₹1,000 crore to consolidated topline
Consolidation from Q2 FY26, adding approximately ₹1,000 crore in annual revenue.
Q1 FY26 · H2 performance better than H1
Management expects second half to be stronger than first half, with Q2 marking a low.
Q1 FY26 · Steel Europe restructuring roadmap in 6 months
A roadmap for European steel business restructuring will be outlined within six months.
Q2 FY26 · Q3 similar to Q2, recovery by Q4
Management expects Q3 performance to be similar to Q2, with an uptick in Q4 as tariff uncertainties resolve.
Q2 FY26 · Aerospace revenue >₹350 crore in FY26
Aerospace revenue is expected to exceed ₹350 crore for the full year, growing at 40%+ YoY.
Q2 FY26 · Fundraising of up to ₹2,000 crore for organic and inorganic growth
Company has approval to raise up to ₹2,000 crore via debt and NCDs for organic and inorganic expansion in India.
Q2 FY26 · European steel restructuring roadmap by end of FY26
Management will outline the restructuring plan for European steel operations by the end of the fiscal year.
Q3 FY26 · Defense business growth of 30-40%+ next year
Driven by commencement of ATAGS order and beginning of CQB production, with strong uptake expected.
Q3 FY26 · Defense revenue share to reach 18-20% in 2-3 years
From current ~10-12%, defense could become as big as the overall business today, aided by global opportunities.
Q3 FY26 · Capex of up to ₹3,000 crore for Odisha project
Bharat Forge's share in the group's ₹17,000 crore Odisha project, including forging, machining, and casting facilities.
Q3 FY26 · European restructuring update by fiscal year-end
Evaluation of restructuring operations for European steel business, with progress update by end of FY26.
Q4 FY26 · India business to grow 25%+ in FY27
Management expects over 25% growth in India operations (standalone + Indian subsidiaries) driven by aerospace, defense, and components.
Q4 FY26 · Capex of ₹800-850 crore over 15-18 months
Ongoing capex programs across forging, casting, and products platforms will translate into ₹800-850 crore spend.
Q4 FY26 · Defense revenue ramp-up from H2 FY27
ATAGS and carbine production will start in second half of FY27 after FAT completion.
Q4 FY26 · German steel restructuring to complete by end of CY27
CDP restructuring is a 15-18 month process; losses will reduce as CDP losses are phased out.