ConCallIQ
Go Pro

Bharat Forge FY26 Annual Earnings Summary

4 quarters covered · ₹13,302 Cr revenue · ₹233 Cr PAT · 17.3% average EBITDA margin.

Total annual revenue: ₹13,302 Cr
Annual PAT: ₹233 Cr
Average margin: 17.3%
Promise delivery: Building

Quarter-by-quarter progression

QuarterRevenuePATMarginSentiment
Q1 FY26₹399 Cr17.4%neutral
Q2 FY26₹4,032 Cr17.7%neutral
Q3 FY26₹4,343 Cr17.3%bullish
Q4 FY26₹4,528 Cr₹233 Cr17.0%bullish

Management promises made during the year

Promise tracking available after 2+ quarters of coverage.

Risks flagged during the year

Q1 FY26 · high

US tariffs on auto and industrial parts create cost burden and demand disruption; ₹14 crore absorbed in Q1.

Q2 FY26 · high

US tariff situation remains dynamic; management declined to quantify further impact, indicating potential for continued headwinds.

Q3 FY26 · high

Management deflected specifics on European restructuring, citing external landscape challenges and secular problems in Europe.

Q4 FY26 · high

Tariffs and geopolitical tensions (Middle East, US-China) could disrupt demand and supply chains; company absorbed ₹12 crore tariff impact in Q4.

Q1 FY26 · medium

Management guided Q2 to be weaker due to US export slowdown, potentially marking a cyclical low.

Q1 FY26 · medium

Despite improved margins, price increases from customers are still pending, as highlighted by an analyst.

Q1 FY26 · medium

Kalyani Powertrain losses reduced but breakeven depends on large contracts; EV sector faces magnet availability issues.

Q2 FY26 · medium

European steel business is a weak spot; restructuring plans are not yet finalized, posing a drag on consolidated margins.

Q2 FY26 · medium

Large defense orders like ATAGS and carbines have long gestation periods (12+ months to start revenue), delaying cash flows.

Q3 FY26 · medium

Tariffs on aluminium into the US are impacting profitability and demand, with current utilization at 65%.

Q3 FY26 · medium

While order intake is improving, the recovery is expected to be steady rather than sharp, with exports still down 51% YoY.

Q4 FY26 · medium

Energy costs have risen substantially, impacting input costs; management is negotiating with customers for compensation but uncertainty remains.

What changed through the year

G

Q1 FY26 · Aerospace revenue to grow 20%+ YoY

Aerospace business expected to continue strong growth with limited US exposure.

G

Q1 FY26 · American Axle to add ₹1,000 crore to consolidated topline

Consolidation from Q2 FY26, adding approximately ₹1,000 crore in annual revenue.

G

Q1 FY26 · H2 performance better than H1

Management expects second half to be stronger than first half, with Q2 marking a low.

G

Q1 FY26 · Steel Europe restructuring roadmap in 6 months

A roadmap for European steel business restructuring will be outlined within six months.

G

Q2 FY26 · Q3 similar to Q2, recovery by Q4

Management expects Q3 performance to be similar to Q2, with an uptick in Q4 as tariff uncertainties resolve.

G

Q2 FY26 · Aerospace revenue >₹350 crore in FY26

Aerospace revenue is expected to exceed ₹350 crore for the full year, growing at 40%+ YoY.

G

Q2 FY26 · Fundraising of up to ₹2,000 crore for organic and inorganic growth

Company has approval to raise up to ₹2,000 crore via debt and NCDs for organic and inorganic expansion in India.

G

Q2 FY26 · European steel restructuring roadmap by end of FY26

Management will outline the restructuring plan for European steel operations by the end of the fiscal year.

G

Q3 FY26 · Defense business growth of 30-40%+ next year

Driven by commencement of ATAGS order and beginning of CQB production, with strong uptake expected.

G

Q3 FY26 · Defense revenue share to reach 18-20% in 2-3 years

From current ~10-12%, defense could become as big as the overall business today, aided by global opportunities.

G

Q3 FY26 · Capex of up to ₹3,000 crore for Odisha project

Bharat Forge's share in the group's ₹17,000 crore Odisha project, including forging, machining, and casting facilities.

G

Q3 FY26 · European restructuring update by fiscal year-end

Evaluation of restructuring operations for European steel business, with progress update by end of FY26.

G

Q4 FY26 · India business to grow 25%+ in FY27

Management expects over 25% growth in India operations (standalone + Indian subsidiaries) driven by aerospace, defense, and components.

G

Q4 FY26 · Capex of ₹800-850 crore over 15-18 months

Ongoing capex programs across forging, casting, and products platforms will translate into ₹800-850 crore spend.

G

Q4 FY26 · Defense revenue ramp-up from H2 FY27

ATAGS and carbine production will start in second half of FY27 after FAT completion.

G

Q4 FY26 · German steel restructuring to complete by end of CY27

CDP restructuring is a 15-18 month process; losses will reduce as CDP losses are phased out.