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View Promises →Asian Paints reported a muted Q2 FY24 with decorative paint volume growth of 6% YoY but value growth flat, impacted by weak consumer sentiment and erratic monsoons.
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Asian Paints reported a muted Q2 FY24 with decorative paint volume growth of 6% YoY but value growth flat, impacted by weak consumer sentiment and erratic monsoons. However, gross margins expanded to 43.9% (up ~770bps YoY on consolidated basis) aided by 4% material deflation. Management attributed the softness to a shift in festive season (Diwali in November vs October last year) and expects a strong H2 recovery led by festive and wedding demand. The company maintained its double-digit volume CAGR trajectory and guided for a good Q3. Key risks include rising crude prices due to geopolitical tensions, which could reverse deflation benefits, and continued weakness in Nepal and Bangladesh operations.
एशियन पेंट्स ने Q2 FY24 में कमजोर प्रदर्शन दिखाया। सजावटी पेंट की बिक्री मात्रा में 6% बढ़ोतरी हुई, लेकिन कीमत के हिसाब से बिक्री स्थिर रही। इसकी वजह कमजोर उपभोक्ता भावना और अनियमित बारिश थी। हालांकि, कच्चे माल की कीमतों में 4% गिरावट से कंपनी का मुनाफा बढ़कर 43.9% हो गया। कंपनी का कहना है कि दिवाली इस बार नवंबर में पड़ने से बिक्री प्रभावित हुई, लेकिन त्योहारों और शादियों के कारण दूसरी छमाही में अच्छी वृद्धि की उम्मीद है। कंपनी को Q3 में अच्छा प्रदर्शन दिखने की उम्मीद है। मुख्य जोखिम हैं - कच्चे तेल की बढ़ती कीमतें जो मुनाफे को कम कर सकती हैं, और नेपाल-बांग्लादेश में कमजोर कारोबार।
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View Promises →Rising crude prices may reverse deflation benefits
View Risks →Full transcript text is available on this route.
Read Transcript →Volume growth moderated to 6% in Q2 FY24 vs double-digit in prior year quarter, reflecting weak demand.
Distribution network expanded to 1.6 lakh retail touchpoints, with 5,000 added in H1.
New products contributed 11% of revenue, indicating sustained innovation pipeline.
Home décor contributed 4% of decorative revenue; kitchen & bath saw double-digit declines.
Management reiterated commitment to double-digit volume CAGR, expecting Q3 to recover with festive and wedding demand.
Target to add 8,000-10,000 retail touchpoints in FY24, with 5,000 already added in H1.
White cement project in Fujairah expected by Dec 2025; VAM/VAE project by Q4 2026. Brownfield expansions largely complete.
Management guided that PBDIT margins will remain in the 18-20% range, balancing input cost inflation and pricing actions.
Target for home decor segment to contribute 7%-8% of decorative revenue by end of FY26.
Plans to increase Beautiful Homes stores from 44 to 65-70 during the current fiscal year.
Capacity expansion plan of INR 8,750 crore over three years is on schedule.
Management noted that geopolitical tensions could increase crude and derivative prices, potentially leading to input cost inflation in H2.
AP Global saw degrowth due to currency depreciation in Egypt and weak demand in Nepal/Bangladesh; management expressed uncertainty about recovery.
Analyst raised concern about downtrading to economy products; management acknowledged shift but claimed organized sector gaining share from unorganized.
Crude oil at all-time high and some raw material prices rising could pressure margins if deflation reverses.
Luxury paint segment underperformed in Q1, which could persist if consumer sentiment remains cautious.
Currency devaluation and economic crisis in Nepal, Bangladesh, and Sri Lanka impacted international profitability; recovery uncertain.
Management reiterated commitment to double-digit volume CAGR, expecting Q3 to recover with festive and wedding demand.
Management noted that geopolitical tensions could increase crude and derivative prices, potentially leading to input cost inflation in H2.
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