AM
Ambuja Cements
Q4 FY26 · Manufacturing
Ambuja Cements reported a disappointing Q4 FY26 with cost per ton surging to ₹4,500, well above the earlier target of ₹4,100, driven by higher freight, packing costs from the West Asia crisis, and elevated repairs at acquired assets (Sanghi, Penna). Annual sales volume hit a record 73.7 million tons (+16% YoY), but EBITDA per ton at ₹887 missed expectations. Management admitted to execution failures, resetting capacity expansion timelines and guiding for only 8% volume growth in FY27 to ~80 million tons, below industry growth of 5-5.5%. Cost reduction of ₹250/ton is targeted for FY27, but Q1 is expected to remain flat at elevated levels. The key risk is that pricing power remains weak, with only ₹10/bag improvement, and cost inflation may persist if global energy prices stay high.
- Guidance read
- FY27 volume target of ~80 million tons: Management expects 8% volume growth to ~80 million tons in FY27, driven by stabilization of acquired assets and new capacities. Cost reduction of ₹250/ton in FY27: Targeting ₹250/ton reduction in average cost from Q4 FY26 exit of ₹4,500/ton, reaching ~₹4,250/ton for FY27. Capex of ₹6,000-6,500 crore for FY27: Capital expenditure for FY27 estimated at ₹6,000-6,500 crore, focused on completing ongoing projects and debottlenecking. Capacity to reach 119 million tons by end FY27: Cement capacity expected to increase to 119 million tons by end of FY27, including 10 million tons of new grinding units.
- Risk read
- Key risks include Cost inflation from West Asia crisis — Packing bag costs and fuel prices surged in March due to geopolitical tensions, adding ~₹250/ton to costs. Further escalation could delay cost reduction targets.; Weak pricing power amid soft demand — Despite cost inflation, cement prices have only increased by ₹10-15/bag in select pockets. Management expects subdued demand in April-May, limiting ability to pass on costs.; Execution delays in capacity expansion — Projects have been delayed due to contractor issues, incomplete engineering, and lack of team bandwidth. Management has reset timelines, but further slippages could impact volume growth.; Higher-than-expected costs at acquired assets — Sanghi and Penna plants have lower utilization (57% and 46% respectively) and higher maintenance costs. Turnaround has taken longer than anticipated, weighing on overall margins..
- Promise ledger
- Scorecard data is being built as historical quarters are processed.
UL
UltraTech Cement
Q4 FY26 · Manufacturing
UltraTech Cement delivered a strong Q4 FY26, with consolidated sales volumes crossing 44 million tons and PAT of ₹3,000 crore for the quarter. The company achieved 200 million tons of cement production capacity, a full year ahead of target, driven by disciplined organic growth and timely acquisitions. Brand migration for India Cements and Kesam was completed a quarter early, with India Cements' EBITDA per ton improving sequentially to ₹497. Management guided for sustainable volume growth of 7-8% and double-digit growth in FY27, with annual capex of ₹8,000-10,000 crore. Key risks include West Asia conflict-driven cost inflation (bags, fuel, forex) and potential demand slowdown from rising input costs across building materials.
- Guidance read
- Volume growth of 7-8% sustainable, double-digit in FY27: Management expects sustainable volume growth of 7-8% per annum, with FY27 targeting double-digit growth driven by structural demand. Annual capex of ₹8,000-10,000 crore for foreseeable future: Capex will continue at ₹8,000-10,000 crore per year for cement capacity expansion beyond 240 million tons. India Cements EBITDA per ton to exceed ₹1,000 by FY28: Cost improvement capex and price increases will drive India Cements' EBITDA per ton above ₹1,000 by end of FY28. Clinker conversion ratio target of 1.54x by FY28: Target to improve clinker conversion ratio to 1.54x by FY28, enhancing profitability through blended cement.
- Risk read
- Key risks include West Asia conflict driving input cost inflation — Rising fuel, bag, and freight costs due to the conflict could pressure margins; management noted a ₹90 crore impact on bags in March alone.; Forex volatility from rupee devaluation — Rupee devaluation led to a mark-to-market hit of ~₹130-140 per ton on foreign currency borrowings, impacting EBITDA.; Demand slowdown from rising building material costs — Steel, PVC, and other materials have become expensive, potentially affecting overall construction demand, though management sees no slowdown yet.; Legal hurdles delaying India Cements merger — Inherited legal cases may delay full integration of India Cements; management is cautious about risks to UltraTech's balance sheet..
- Promise ledger
- Scorecard data is being built as historical quarters are processed.