Adani Ports FY26 Annual Earnings Summary
4 quarters covered · ₹38,736 Cr revenue · ₹12,782 Cr PAT · 0.0% average EBITDA margin.
Quarter-by-quarter progression
Management promises made during the year
Current-quarter commentary contains related risk or weakness, so the promise appears not to have been delivered yet.
Q3 FY26Current-quarter commentary contains related risk or weakness, so the promise appears not to have been delivered yet.
Q4 FY26Risks flagged during the year
Mundra coal volumes dropped 18% YoY due to lower thermal power demand and plant shutdowns, with recovery uncertain.
Q3 FY26 · highCEO noted that a major conflict between countries impacting global trade could derail the FY2029 targets, though minor events like Red Sea disruptions have negligible impact.
Q4 FY26 · highContinued disruptions in the Middle East could further depress container volumes and margins, especially at Mundra and Tuna.
Q1 FY26 · mediumTransshipment volumes at Mundra were affected by geopolitical issues and shipping route changes, with recovery still in progress.
Q1 FY26 · mediumManagement expects coastal coal to offset imported coal declines, but imported coal recovery is uncertain and may affect volume targets.
Q2 FY26 · mediumThe acquisition is pending final approval from an Australian government department, with no clear timeline for closure.
Q2 FY26 · mediumGeopolitical disruptions (e.g., Operation Swords of Iron) have affected container volumes at Mundra, though recovery is underway.
Q2 FY26 · mediumImported coal volumes at Mundra are under pressure due to power plant configuration changes, impacting overall port throughput.
Q3 FY26 · mediumGopalpur reported negative EBITDA this quarter due to fixed costs and volume decline. Management acknowledged a turnaround program but provided no specific timeline.
Q3 FY26 · mediumAnalyst raised concerns about NQXT contract renegotiations; management indicated major volume renegotiations only in FY2029, with margins remaining around 65-70%.
Q4 FY26 · mediumEBITDA margin declined to ~56% due to free storage, dry cargo mix changes, and operational resets; recovery timing uncertain.
Q4 FY26 · mediumTalks for port concession extensions (e.g., Mundra) are ongoing but timing and terms are not controlled by management.
What changed through the year
Q1 FY26 · FY2026 EBITDA guidance of INR 22,000 crore maintained
Management reaffirmed the full-year EBITDA target despite Q1 volume headwinds, citing recovery in July and diversified revenue streams.
Q1 FY26 · Logistics EBITDA margin target of 35-40% in 3-4 years
Management expects logistics margins to creep up to 35-40% as the business mix shifts toward asset-light segments.
Q1 FY26 · 1 billion MT cargo target by 2030
Long-term volume target remains unchanged, with international ports expected to contribute 115 million MT.
Q1 FY26 · Container capacity expansion across multiple ports
Investments in container berths at Mundra, Hazira, Gangavaram, Vizhinjam, and Colombo are underway to capture containerized trade growth.
Q2 FY26 · FY26 EBITDA guidance of ₹21,000-22,000 crore
Management reiterated the full-year EBITDA guidance range despite strong H1 performance, indicating confidence in sustained momentum.
Q2 FY26 · Five-year capex plan of ₹75,000 crore
Capex will be deployed across ports (₹45,000-50,000 crore), logistics, and marine, with focus on container capacity and evacuation infrastructure.
Q2 FY26 · International ports EBITDA margin target of ~45%
Long-term target for stabilized international port margins, with Colombo at ~50%, Haifa 30-40%, and Australia ~65%.
Q2 FY26 · Domestic port margins sustainable at 75-77%
Management expects domestic port EBITDA margins to remain in the 75-77% range over the long term, driven by operating efficiencies.
Q3 FY26 · FY2026 EBITDA guidance raised to INR 22,800 crore
Full-year EBITDA guidance increased by INR 800 crore to INR 22,800 crore, including one quarter of NQXT contribution (INR 300 crore EBITDA).
Q3 FY26 · FY2029 revenue target of INR 65,500 crore and EBITDA of INR 36,500 crore
Management reiterated the five-year plan targets, with revenue of INR 65,500 crore and EBITDA of INR 36,500 crore by FY2029.
Q3 FY26 · Vizhinjam Phase II expansion to add 4.1M TEUs capacity by FY2029
INR 16,000 crore capex for Vizhinjam Phase II, increasing total capacity to 5.7M TEUs, with cash flows spread from FY2026 to FY2030.
Q3 FY26 · Coal proportion expected to settle at 20-22% in five years
Management guided that coal's share of total cargo will decline to 20-22% over five years, driven by container and oil & gas growth.
Q4 FY26 · FY27 Revenue Growth 11-16%
Management guided for FY27 revenue growth of 11-16%, assuming conservative assumptions amid West Asia disruptions.
Q4 FY26 · Ambition 2031: 1 Billion Tonnes Cargo
Target to handle 1 billion tonnes of cargo by FY31, including 850 million tonnes domestic, with 20% ROCE.
Q4 FY26 · Net Debt to EBITDA Ceiling of 2.5x
Management reiterated net debt to EBITDA ceiling of 2.5x, with flexibility for strategic M&A up to ~3.2x.
Q4 FY26 · Capex Acceleration in FY27
Capex guided at ₹12,000-14,000 crore for FY27, accelerated for Mundra CT5, Dhamra expansion, and Vizhinjam phase two.