Aavas Financiers FY26 Annual Earnings Summary
3 quarters covered · ₹235 Cr revenue · ₹336 Cr PAT · 0.0% average EBITDA margin.
Quarter-by-quarter progression
Management promises made during the year
Promise tracking available after 2+ quarters of coverage.
Risks flagged during the year
Any adverse macro event or black swan could derail growth targets, as acknowledged by management.
Q4 FY26 · highNumber of loans disbursed remained flat YoY despite increased branches and employees, indicating productivity challenges.
Q2 FY26 · mediumManagement identified stress in the eastern belt of MP and tightened underwriting; though contained, further deterioration could impact asset quality.
Q2 FY26 · mediumAnalyst raised concern about MFI ordinance impact; management acknowledged early tightening but residual risk remains if microfinance stress spreads to affordable housing.
Q2 FY26 · mediumBT-out rate increased to 5.7% in Q2 from 4.9% in Q1, driven by competitive pressure from banks and other HFCs; retention efforts may not fully offset.
Q3 FY26 · mediumAnalyst raised concern about increased competition; management downplayed it citing different customer segments and ticket sizes.
Q3 FY26 · mediumNHB refinance share has fallen to 12% due to pending sanctions post-CBC transaction; new sanctions are awaited.
Q4 FY26 · mediumSequential yield decline of 15bps due to PLR cut; further rate cuts could pressure NIMs if risk-adjusted pricing doesn't offset.
Q4 FY26 · mediumAnalyst raised concern about bigger HFCs entering Aavas' zip codes; management acknowledged competition but downplayed impact.
Q2 FY26 · lowManagement hinted at possible PLR cut if MCLR transmission occurs, which could compress spreads if cost of funds does not decline further.
Q4 FY26 · lowCRO noted potential indirect impact on customer profiles (e.g., travel, energy-related); monitoring but no visible effect yet.
What changed through the year
Q2 FY26 · Full-year AUM growth of ~18%
Management raised AUM growth guidance to around 18% for FY26, up from earlier expectations, driven by strong disbursement momentum.
Q2 FY26 · 20-25 new branches in H2 FY26
Company plans to add 20-25 branches in the second half, including 8 more in Tamil Nadu, to deepen penetration in existing markets.
Q2 FY26 · Opex to asset ratio below 3% over medium term
Management committed to bringing operating expense to asset ratio below 3% over the medium term through operating leverage and technology benefits.
Q2 FY26 · Credit cost below 25 bps on sustainable basis
Management reiterated guidance to keep credit cost below 25 basis points, supported by strong asset quality and proactive risk management.
Q3 FY26 · 25% disbursement growth in FY27
Management targets 25% growth in disbursements for FY27, driven by branch expansion, digital channels, and productivity improvements.
Q3 FY26 · AUM growth of 17-18% in FY27
Loan book growth expected to be 17-18% in FY27, about 300bps higher than FY26.
Q3 FY26 · Spread to remain around 5.20-5.25%
Despite a 15bps PLR cut, spreads are expected to stay in the 5.20-5.25% range, supported by further cost of funds reduction.
Q3 FY26 · 25bps opex saving in FY27
Opex-to-asset ratio expected to improve by 25bps in FY27 due to operating leverage and digital initiatives.
Q4 FY26 · 20%+ AUM growth aspiration
Management targets consistent 20%+ AUM growth to outperform industry, driven by sharper execution and geographic expansion.
Q4 FY26 · Credit cost below 25bps sustainable
Management reiterated guidance to keep credit costs under 25bps on a sustainable basis, supported by strong underwriting.
Q4 FY26 · Opex to AUM ratio below 3% in 2-3 years
CFO guided that opex to AUM ratio will trend below 3% as balance sheet doubles, driven by operating leverage.
Q4 FY26 · Spread to remain above 5%
Management expressed confidence in maintaining spread above 5% through risk-adjusted pricing and stable cost of funds.